FPL gameweek 7 tips

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Enjoy our FPL tips for gameweek 7, which are based on the numbers of the unique FPL algorithm. Remember also to check the FPL fixture tracker from here!

Attacking potential

Manchester United is The Team of the FPL gameweek 7 – there is no doubt about it. When Mourinho’s troops meet basement boys Crystal Palace at the Old Trafford there should be no doubt of the winning team. Neighbors City met Palace last week and trashed the Londoners 5-0 FT. Similar score wouldn’t exactly shock anyone at Saturday either. If you are one of the many FPL players holding Lukaku, then keep on captaining him – this week you have numbers on your side as well! But overall, I’m still sceptical regarding United. Their fixtures start to get difficult starting GW 8 and they meet Liverpool, Spurs and Chelsea during the next four gameweeks. This is not a period when you want to captain Lukaku or any other United attacker. In fact, if I had any United forwards I’d sell them after the international break and switch to Manchester City players instead.

Arsenal come second due to another easy home fixture. Gunners met West Brom at Monday and Alexandre Lacazette improved his season record with two goals. Alexis’ form is still below par but he has picked up 1G + 2A from last three matches he has started. I still wouldn’t recommend having Alexis in your squad because he doesn’t seem worth the high price tag. Gunners have suitable schedule going forward. They meet Brighton, Watford, Everton and Swansea during the next four gameweeks. This is not a bad time to have Arsenal attackers (or defenders) in your squad! I’d go for Ramsey, Lacazette, Kolasinac myself.

I’d also like to point out Leicester, even if it is not one of the very best candidates this week. Foxes have had a tough schedule so far, but it gets much better now. Leicester meet Bournemouth, WBA, Swansea, Everton and Stoke. This is a five-match period, where you can expect some decent returns from Jamie Vardy for example.


Defensive potential

Manchester United is also the number one CS candidate this week. Mourinho’s defense line has been the CS bank all season, as I have written in numerous articles. The algorithm clearly points out each week that United defense is the one you should trust. And this trust has paid off nicely so far! This week United entertain the worst team in the league, so you’d expected nothing else but another clean sheet. As mentioned above, fixtures start to get tricky from now on. United is meeting several top teams during the next four gameweeks, so it might not be a terrible idea to change United defenders to something better after GW7.

Arsenal and Spurs come second with almost 50% chances for a clean sheet. Gunners have actually held three clean sheets in a row and four consecutive ones in the domestic matches. This run also includes a clean sheet they achieved against Chelsea. Arsenal defenders are definitely something to look at right now, but ideally you should have had them in your team already a week ago.

Tottenham defense is a bit tricky one. Spurs have two great fixtures coming up, but after that they have a horrible spell of matches meeting Liverpool, United and Arsenal inside four gameweeks (GW9-12). I still have Eriksen + Kane from Spurs myself and I won’t be adding no defenders at this point.

One team you should not forget is Southampton. Just look at the fixture tracker and see the potential Saints have. They’ve already produced many clean sheets this season and have five very nice fixtures coming up. Southampton attack might be horrible, but they can still defend alright. I’ve had Ben Foster and Ryan Bertrand since the GW 1 and I’m definitely not dropping these guys out.

FPL gameweek 7: the best clean sheet candidates

  1. Man Utd: 59% probability for clean sheet
  2. Arsenal: 49%
  3. Spurs: 48%

FPL gameweek 7: the highest expected goals

  1. Man Utd: expected to score 2.65 goals this round
  2. Arsenal: 2.52
  3. Spurs: 1.94

FPL Gameweek 7: expected goals for each match

Man Utd-Crystal Palace2.650.5359% 07%
West Brom-Watford1.311.0834%27%
West Ham-Swansea1.480.9538%23%
Chelsea-Man City1.811.6419%16%

xG_H = expected goals for the home team
xG_A = expected goals for the away team

CS_H = clean sheet probability for the home team
CS_A = clean sheet probability for the home team

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Check out the historical stats of the algorithm from here.

Image credit: iStock / Chris Hepburn

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