FPL Gameweek 24 tips are based on our PL Fixture Difficulty tool. Any xG values mentioned in this article are from the official FPL stats. Note that xGI per 90 minutes means expected goal involvements per 90 minutes, calculated by adding expected goals and assists.
Next, we’ll go through FPL gameweek 24 tips team by team in order by the most expected goals. These tips are written on the 26th of January and don’t include the latest injury information.
Join the Allfantasytips FPL league here to see what kind of team we have! Our team name is AllFantasyTips.
Double gameweek for Everton & Liverpool
The first thing to remember is that this is a double gameweek for Everton and Liverpool. The postponed Everton vs. Liverpool match has been re-scheduled for February 12th, meaning these teams have two games in gameweek 24. The Fixture Difficulty tool has been updated and shows “2X!” for gameweek 24 for both teams with updated expected goals and clean sheet probabilities.
This double gameweek makes Everton defenders even more valuable. It’s also the first gameweek when the assistant manager chip can be activated.
FPL Gameweek 24 tips for Captain selection
The captain selection for this week is straightforward: Mo Salah. Not only does Liverpool have the highest expected goals, but they also play two matches. You should always prefer players with double fixtures over single fixtures because the potential is much better from appearance points alone. Even if both matches would end 0-0 FT, Salah would get 6 points plus potential bonuses.
Chelsea has the second-highest expected goals. They are not far behind Liverpool, but I doubt nobody seriously considers Palmer as captain when thinking about the current form of Chelsea.
Liverpool
Liverpool trounced Ipswich at home, just like everyone expected. Salah scored a goal, but Gakpo stole the show with three attacking returns (2G, 1A). I recommended Gakpo a week ago and brought him into my team (Join the AllFantasyTips FPL league here to see what kind of team I’m building). Unfortunately, Ipswich wiped out the clean sheet with a 90th-minute goal, which annoyed millions of FPL managers.
Picks: CB Konate, RB Alexander-Arnold, RW Salah, CF Gakpo. Liverpool has by far the highest expected goals for the next six gameweeks. They are not the best team (a bit surprisingly) in clean sheet probabilities, but they are still among the top ones. You should have three Liverpool players on your team right now.
Trent got an assist against Ipswich and recorded 0.62 xGI. He is still far above any other defender regarding attacking potential. I have Trent on my team and have no plans to sell him. If you are short on cash, Konate provides a cheap entry. Either go cheap on Konate or spend on Trent, but going for Virgil is, in my opinion, a bad idea. He provides zero value over Konate.
Since everyone has Salah, we can move to other attackers. Gakpo has started every Premier League match for months. I see no reason why anyone else would steal his place. Liverpool plays two cup matches between Bournemouth and Everton, where other forwards will surely get more game time. Gakpo has 11 returns (8G, 3A) in 14 starts and 0.59 xGI per 90. He has recorded at least 0.50 xGI in six consecutive matches.
Chelsea
Chelsea threw away the early lead against Manchester City and lost 1-3. It was a game where all goals came from really poor defending. Chelsea have won just one out of the previous seven league matches.
Picks: RB James, LB Cucurella, AM Palmer. Chelsea has the second-highest expected goals for the next six gameweeks. They play against West Ham at home at GW 24 and meet Southampton and Leicester at home on GW 27 and GW 28. Chelsea is also fourth in clean sheet probabilities. However, there are not that many interesting picks in this team.
RB Reece James has returned from a long injury. He has a horrible injury record, but if you can look past that, the 4.8m-priced full-back might be an interesting option. James has 0.11 xGI per 90 and the potential for much more. LB Cucurella is a safer option and more expensive at 5.2m. Cucurella has 0.17 xGI per 90, which is among the best of all PL defenders. He is constantly near the penalty box and can have attacking returns in any match.
I’ve been surprised to see so many FPL managers sell Palmer. You must remember he has 21 attacking returns in 23 games with 0.81 xGI per 90. Before the City match, he recorded at least 0.40 xGI in eleven consecutive matches. Palmer is also on set pieces and penalties. You’d be crazy to let this man go with these fixtures. If you don’t have Palmer, bring him in now. I see no value in other Chelsea attackers.
Bournemouth
Bournemouth trashed Nottingham 5-0 on home soil. Ouattara scored a hat trick, and Kluivert had two attacking returns. Bournemouth looks like the hottest team in the Premier League right now. Even if this is the case, bringing Bournemouth players before the Liverpool home match makes no sense. Keep this team on your radar, but wait until GW 25, when Bournemouth plays against Southampton.
Arsenal
Arsenal had a hard-fought away win over Wolves. Lewis-Skelly was sent out early after he prevented a Wolves counter-attack. Arsenal managed to squeeze a 1-0 victory, but Wolves can consider themselves unlucky not to score. Millions of FPL managers were happy to get an Arsenal clean sheet after several unlucky matches. I don’t see any value in any Arsenal midfielder or attacker. Because they play Man City at GW 24, I wouldn’t bring in GK Raya or CB Gabriel this week. Yes, the clean sheet probabilities are decent, but Man City has recently improved their attacking game. This is not a good entry point for Arsenal defenders.
Everton
Everton had a fantastic away win over Brighton. N’Diaye scored the only goal from the penalty spot, one of the two real chances for Everton in the match. Brighton dominated but couldn’t hit the ball between the posts.
Picks: GK Pickford, LB Mykolenko. Everton has the best clean sheet odds of all teams for the next six gameweeks. Toffees were also ranked number one a week ago. They have a double fixture at GW 24 and face only lower midtable teams afterward. Even if Liverpool is one of the fixtures at GW 24, the other is Leicester at home. Pickford is a great goalkeeper option. You can even consider downgrading Raya for Pickford to save some money.
Mykolenko is the smart pick from Everton’s defense. He is 0.4m cheaper than Tarkowski & Branthwaite, while none of the defenders possess any serious attacking threat. David Moyes has downgraded Ashley Young to the bench from the right-back position. It’s Jake O’Brien who plays at RB now. However, O’Brien provides no extra value because he’s 0.1m more expensive than Mykolenko.
Crystal Palace
Palace suffered a home loss vs. Brentford in the London derby, ending their 6-match unbeaten run. Popular picks Eze & Mateta & Sarr all blanked, but right-back Munoz had an assist.
Picks: RB Munoz. Crystal Palace is third in clean sheet probabilities but almost at the bottom in expected goals. It is essential to understand that Palace is naturally a low-scoring team. This means that there is rarely value in their attackers. This is certainly not the case right now. For example, I’d switch Mateta to Gakpo/Wissa and Eze to Mbeumo.
There is one player worth considering: Daniel Munoz. Palace has three excellent home fixtures in the next five, and the away matches vs. Man Utd and Fulham aren’t that difficult either. United and Fulham are not high-scoring teams, so there are decent odds for clean sheets. Munoz has 0.26 xGI per 90, which is fantastic. Only two players have more xGI in the Premier League: Trent Alexander-Arnold and Josko Gvardiol. Munoz is excellent value at 4.8m.
Tottenham
Tottenham suffered another humiliating loss by losing 1-0 HT, which led to 1-2 FT vs. Leicester at home. It was a disappointing performance once again. What’s interesting in FPL was that Richarlison started his second consecutive match and scored in his second PL match in a row.
Picks: CF Richarlison. Richarlison has only data from a handful of matches, but the FPL data says he has 0.74 xGI per 90. This is a fantastic number for an attacker. We also know that Richarlison is the only attacker this team has now, with Solanke injured. Despite all this team’s issues, they are fifth in expected goals and play against leaky Brentford next. Richarlison is a risky pick, but he might be a differential. I’d only consider Richarlison as your third forward after Gakpo and Isak. You need to have Gakpo and Isak for GW 24.
Brentford
Brentford surprised everyone by defeating Palace 2-1 in an open match. Bryan Mbeumo scored his 14th goal of the season – from the penalty spot. Damsgaard got his 7th assisted of the season as well.
Picks: RW Mbeumo, RW Wissa, LW Damsgaard. Brentford is sixth in the league for expected goals and faces Tottenham at home. This is a great entry point for Brentford forwards.
Bryan Mbeumo has been one of the best value picks all season. In truth, it must be said he has only 13.0 xGI (~8 goals and ~5 assists), and Mbeumo has scored 14 goals and got three assists. I wouldn’t let this stop me if I liked Mbeumo. I might swap Iwobi for Mbeumo, but I don’t have the funds, so I must assess my options.
We shouldn’t forget Mikkel Damsgaard. He’s an excellent 5.0m enabler with nine attacking returns (2G, 7A). Damsgaard has 0.30 xGI per 90, which is in the ballpark with other ~5.0m midfielders.
Wissa is an interesting option because he’s an attacker. Everyone should have Gakpo and Isak for GW 24, but there is room for a third medium-priced forward. I’m very close to switching Raul for Wissa myself. Wissa has 13 attacking returns from 10 goals and three assists. Unlike Mbeumo, he hasn’t even overachieved his xG at all. Only Isak, Haaland, Jackson, and Watkins have more xGI than Wissa and are much more expensive.
Nottingham
I must mention this team briefly because it is sixth in clean sheet probabilities. I don’t see Forest defenders worth buying at GW 24. The Brighton home fixture is excellent for a clean sheet, followed by two tough away fixtures with home matches against Arsenal and Manchester City. I don’t see I’d start a Nottingham defender in any of those four matches after GW 24.
Since Nottingham is such a low-scoring team and fixtures are also pretty tough, there is no value in Nottingham attackers either. It’s great for FPL managers who have benefited from Chris Wood, but I don’t see how it makes sense to bring him in now. You need to have Isak and Gakpo 100 %, and the third attacker slot probably goes for a cheaper option. For example, Wissa from Brentford is the better pick. His xGI stats are also better than those of Chris Wood.
—
You can check the previous FPL tips from here:
To learn more about FPL, read this beginner’s guide: What is Fantasy Premier League (FPL)?
Be the first to comment