Premier League GW 19 is a traditional Boxing Day round. All except one match are played on the 26th of December. Check the following betting previews and predictions and turn your Boxing Day profitable!
These tips are based on our Fixture Tracker algorithm. Odds are market averages picked from Oddsportal at the time of writing this article. You’d be able to get a bit better odds from your top bookmakers.
Bournemouth vs Arsenal betting preview and prediction
Bournemouth had a historical match against Burnley last weekend. The match ended 0-1 FT and the two teams generated so low xG numbers we haven’t seen anything like that all season. It was nothing short of a miracle there was even one goal in the match.
Before this loss, Bournemouth shocked everyone by defeating Chelsea 0-1 at away. This was also a poor game from Cherries’ side but they somehow managed to score a goal regardless. Their attack looks bad right now scoring just once in four matches and generating so few chances.
Arsenal appointed a new manager last week. Now it’s Mikel Arteta’s turn to try to make some miracles in London. He comes from Man City, where the former Gunners’ midfielder was working as Guardiola’s assistant.
Arsenal played a very quiet 0-0 draw against Everton last week. Freddie Ljungberg was still in charge of the team. Gunners looked really weak in the attack just as they looked against Manchester City.
It is true Arsenal have scored a decent amount of goals (24), but almost half of them (11) are done by Aubameyang’s individual skill. The team is not creating much as a whole.
Nobody knows exactly what’s going to happen with Arteta. One thing is certain, though. He wants to have a result. This game should be quite cautious one between two teams in weak form. Both have big issues in attack as well.
Under 2.5 goals presents excellent value at odds around 2.40.
Crystal Palace vs West Ham betting preview and prediction
Crystal Palace lost their four-match unbeaten run against Newcastle last Saturday. Eagles didn’t play that bad, but their attack failed to score once more. Palace actually won the xG data in a match they lost 1-0.
Prior to this, they played also a weak home match against Brighton ending 1-1 FT. Back then, it was the star striker Zaha, who rescued a point to Crystal Palace. Overly they are doing fine sitting in midtable.
The trend is very strongly on low-scoring results right now. Palace don’t create much in attack and they don’t let opponents do much damage either.
London rivals West Ham had a weekend off due to Liverpool’s CWC matches. Hammers ended a horrible run two weeks ago by defeating Southampton 0-1 away in a crucial match. Before that, they played a 10-match period winning just one match.
It might be the win over Saints saved manager Pellegrini’s job. One thing is certain: West Ham lack the firepower and it doesn’t help they are without Lanzini and Felipe Anderson as well.
West Ham results have also been very low-scoring lately. Their defense has also brought two 0-1 wins from previous two away matches. Our model expects just 2.09 goals here, which makes under 2.5 goals at 1.95 odds an excellent bet.
Leicester vs Liverpool betting preview and prediction
Leicester have a second top match in a row. Foxes met Manchester City last weekend and were defeated 3-1 fairly despite Vardy’s only goal. This team has been a phenomenon anyway, regardless of two weaker matches.
Foxed won amazingly eight consecutive matches before drawing 1-1 with Norwich two weeks ago. They have looked so good under Brendan Rodgers and Jamie Vardy is hotter than ever in the attack. Foxes have collected so far more points per game (2.17) they did on the title-winning season (2.13).
Liverpool had a break from the Premier League, but Reds had two matches in Qatar instead. They were victorious over Monterrey (1-2) and Flamengo (0-1 AET) with Firmino scoring the winner in both games. Reds rested most of the regular starters in the first game to help with fatigue.
This team has been truly amazing in Premier League, result-wise. 27W 1D from previous 28 matches and 31W 5D from the previous 36. Reds have lost just one out of the previous 57 PL matches. Even that was an unlucky defeat against Man City.
This team is not THAT superior on the field, though. Liverpool have turned many matches on their favor in the final five mins. Just like they did in the Anfield against Leicester earlier this season. The match ended 2-1 with a 90th-minute penalty.
Leicester and Man City are the only teams with realistic winning chances against Liverpool. We find massive value on Leicester DNB at 2.60 odds.
Wolves vs Man City betting preview and prediction
Wolves returned back to winning ways last week against Norwich. They turned around an early 1-0 and scored the winner on overtime. Just what happened to this team against Spurs a week earlier. Wolves had a great match but ended up losing at home 1-2 regardless.
The Spurs defeat was the first one in three months. Wolves started the season slow and UEL qualifiers surely had an impact. The team has learned to live with the UEL fatigue since and performed really well. Wolves fully deserve to be in top-six right now.
Manchester City defeated Leicester in a crucial top match, as mentioned earlier. Kevin De Bruyne had a great match again, but it’s probably too little too late. City have already dropped way too many points regarding the title race. They are still not even in the top two.
What strikes the most is the vulnerability of this team. Wolves defeated City already 0-2 at Manchester couple of months ago. City have also dropped plenty of more points since. Guardiola’s team is not the ruthless monster it was last spring, for example.
City should get Aguero back, but they have other starters out with KDB as a doubt. Wolves is a really tough nut to crack at home soil and cannot be massive underdogs. We’ll be happily Wolves +1 asian handicap with 2.35 odds.
Image: Flickr / Mikey